supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help …

series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various … indicate that aggregating forecasts by component does not necessarily help forecast year-on-year inflation twelve months …

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …

Recent empirical studies on the inflation-growth-relationship underline that inflation has negative growth effects … already under relatively modest rates. Most contributions to monetary growth theory, however, have difficulties in explaining … influence of inflation on factor substitution. It turns out that already in a simple neoclassical monetary growth model this …

forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and …By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this …. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … application of the minimum distance estimation. The estimated model can explain the cyclical behavior of employment, hours per …

In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core in- flation estimation, based on a frequency domain … principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of …