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helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883
including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532
We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
simple and familiar one. The contraction phase was primarily a consequence of a shock that induced a shift away from … slowness of the recovery from the Depression was due to a shock that increased the market power of workers. We identify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636549
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this …. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520
determinate equilibrium driven by fundamentals. Given assumptions about the shock distribution of model 2, it is possible to find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896