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Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

autarchic (i.e. fundamental) FX returns. The model is calibrated and tested on the Czech koruna/euro exchange rate in a setting … with seven Czech and euro area asset returns. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537

Comparing economic dynamics in the EU and CEE accession countries

Süppel, Ralph - 2003

have posted higher average growth and wider output fluctuations than the euro area and other EU countries. Second, a set of … different methodologies suggests that business cycles of accession countries have been less synchronised with the euro area than … than the euro area "peripherals" (Greece, Portugal and Ireland). Moreover, synchrony differed across countries. Some …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Fundamentals and joint currency crises

Hartmann, Philipp; Straetmans, Stefan; Vries, Casper de - 2004

In this note we demonstrate that in affine models for bilateral exchange rates, the nature of return interdependence during crises depends on the tail properties of the fundamentals' distributions. We denote crisis linkages as either strong or weak, in the sense that the dependence remains or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636547

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551