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The first official data releases of quarterly real GDP for the euro area are published about eight weeks after the end of the reference quarters. Meanwhile, ongoing economic developments must be assessed from various, more readily available, monthly indicators. We examine in the context of...
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This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
Overall, household debt levels have risen sharply over the past decades in EU Member States. While certain levels of … household debts can be beneficial, they can become problematic especially with a sudden, unexpected decrease of incomes or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903923
Household over-indebtedness is among the causes of the current financial crisis. In turn, the crisis exacerbated both … public and private debt problems. In this paper, household over-indebtedness is broadly defined as the situation where a … household cannot comply with payment requirements – whether it be mortgage, utility or consumer credit payments – on a …
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