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This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635885
This paper reviews the key economic issues concerning the welfare costs of inflation and deflation, with a view to … shedding light on the desirable properties of the inflation process. Our review of the evidence on the overall costs of … inflation and deflation indicates that such costs could be even higher than previously thought, also at moderate rates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635897
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635901
The presence of a lower bound of zero on nominal interest rates has important implications for the conduct of optimal monetary policy. Standard rational expectations models can have alternative steady states as well as non-unique laws of motion, i.e. there can be possible sunspot equilibria....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635903
help anchoring inflation expectations. We use survey data on long-term inflation expectations in 15 industrial countries … since the early nineties to investigate how well anchored are inflation expectations. We find that in all countries except … Japan long-term inflation expectations are well anchored and, generally, increasingly so over the past decade. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635904
such as the shortterm nominal interest rate, annual inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906
In the context of a stylised game theoretical framework of capital tax competition, we show that when repeated policy interactions are associated to a systematic punishment of the deviating policymaker, a co-ordinated outcome can be the solution to the non co-operative tax game. This result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635918
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
inconsistency problem arising from the temptation to stimulate the economy with unexpected inflation. Although this dynamic … mechanism design problem seems complex, society can implement the optimal policy simply by legislating an inflation cap that … specifies the highest allowable inflation rate. The more severe the time inconsistency problem, the more tightly the cap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639392
In a plain-vanilla New Keynesian model with two-period staggered price-setting, discretionary monetary policy leads to multiple equilibria. Complementarity between pricing decisions of forward-looking firms underlies the multiplicity, which is intrinsically dynamic in nature. At each point in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639397