"Kulturelle Vielfalt und pulsierende Kreativität sind Europas Markenzeichen. Der europäische audiovisuelle Sektor, dessen Wert auf rund €96 Milliarden geschätzt wird und der über 1.100 Filmproduktionen pro Jahr erzeugt, verkörpert wahrscheinlich am besten diese Werte. Allerdings wird nur...

"The purpose of this six-month study was to provide the Commission with a description of the different provisions, which exist within the aforementioned States, to implement Chapter III of the TWF Directive. This description covers both the implementation of these provisions, and also other...

"European Publishing Monitor is a 12 month project analysing the publishing industries in selected European countries ... The project will help the European Commission understand the challenges faced by the publishing industry in selected countries. ..."

We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. As an application of our...

Using a general-equilibrium simulation model featuring nominal rigidities and monopolistic competition in product and labor markets, this paper estimates the macroeconomic benefits and international spillovers of an increase in competition. After calibrating the model to the euro area vs. the...

In this paper we study risk-neutral densities (RNDs) for the German stock market. The use of option prices allows us to quantify the risk-neutral probabilities of various levels of the DAX index. For the period from December 1995 to November 2001, we implement the mixture of log-normals model...

This paper provides new evidence on the behaviour of euro area aggregate loans to the private sector. Using a sample covering the last twenty years, a cointegrating vector linking the real stock of loans to a small set of domestic macroeconomic variables is found. Besides real GDP and prices,...

This paper extends the analysis of infinite dimensional vector autoregressive models (IVAR) proposed in Chudik and Pesaran (2010) to the case where one of the variables or the cross section units in the IVAR model is dominant or pervasive. This extension is not straightforward and involves...

To forecast an aggregate, we propose adding disaggregate variables, instead of combining forecasts of those disaggregates or forecasting by a univariate aggregate model. New analytical results show the effects of changing coefficients, mis-specification, estimation uncertainty and...

A small labour market model for the six largest euro area countries (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Belgium) is estimated in a state -space framework. The model entails, in the long run, four driving forces: a trend labour force component, a trend labour productivity component,...