Showing 1 - 10 of 47
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009637069
Recent empirical studies on the inflation-growth-relationship underline that inflation has negative growth effects … influence of inflation on factor substitution. It turns out that already in a simple neoclassical monetary growth model this … potential positive effects of inflation along the convergence path. In a more general perspective the paper contributes to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635886
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
We apply both classical and Bayesian econometric methods to characterize the dynamic behavior of inflation for twelve … 1990s. Allowing for a break in intercept, the inflation measures generally exhibit relatively low inflation persistence …. Evidently, high inflation persistence is not an inherent characteristic of industrial economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636705