Showing 1 - 10 of 21
A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914
-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer … large fraction of the variance in all price indices. They seem to have contributed largely to inflation in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635958
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520
including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532
We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487825