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Volatility of interest rates in the euro area

Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003

This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Maintaining price stability under free-floating

Detken, Carsten; Gaspar, Vítor - 2003

The behaviour of the exchange rate under a floating exchange rate regime for a small open economy with perfect capital mobility may appear like a managed float or even a firmer peg. We present a canonical new neo-classical synthesis open economy model where the central bank follows a strategy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635960

Frequency domain principal components estimation of fractionally cointegrated processes

Morana, Claudio - 2004

In this paper we study the zero frequency spectral properties of fractionally cointegrated long memory processes and introduce a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the factor loading matrix for the long memory factors. We find that for fractionally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636544

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Zero lower bound

Coenen, Günter - 2003

This paper presents the results of a quantitative study of the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates which was undertaken in the context of the review of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy in Spring 2003. Focusing on the euro area, the paper provides an assessment of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906

Describing the Fed's conduct with Taylor rules

Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2003

In this paper we estimate simple Taylor rules paying particular attention to interest rate smoothing. Following English, Nelson, and Sack (2002), we employ a model in first differences to gain some insights into the presence and signifcance of the degree of partial adjustment as opposed to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635982

Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero

Coenen, Günter; Orphanides, Athanasios; Wieland, Volker - 2003

This paper employs stochastic simulations of a small structural rational expectations model to investigate the consequences of the zero bound on nominal interest rates. We ﬁnd that if the economy is subject to stochastic shocks similar in magnitude to those experienced in the U.S. over the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983

Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy

Klaeffling, Matt - 2003

prior theory and yet it encompasses all standard DSGE models. After introducing this new paradigm I study US monetary policy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635920

Forecasting euro area inflation

Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inﬂation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954