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A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531
This brief reviews the evolution of the US and the European labour markets since the beginning of the financial crisis. In the US, the unemployment rate and the share of long-term unemployment grew very fast, during the crisis, thereby reaching levels close to those in the EU. Does that mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291914
Private consumption is a key component in the rebalancing of growth that China is seeking, and a challenging one. Not …. Understanding what drove the consumption share down to a mere 36% of GDP in China is thus vital. This brief explores the many … reasons for the high precautionary savings that followed in the wake of the reform process in China. In particular, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291913
China's economy slowed significantly in the first three quarters of 2012 and questions have been raised on a possible … understand what is driving this slowdown and how lasting it may be given China's importance as an engine for global growth. Is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298658
Since the release of the 12th Five-Year Plan in 2011, a reform of China's household registration system – the so … so far (beyond some experiments at the provincial level). In the context of growing urbanisation pressures in China, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298665
China's economy is at a cross roads. The factors that have driven its economic transformation over the last decades are …-income' trap, China's leaders are attempting to engineer a reorientation of the economy towards more sustainable sources of growth …. While considerable success has been achieved, more needs to be done more quickly before the authorities in China can prove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298680
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
This Country Focus discusses the relation between public investment and economic growth in Poland. Theoretical and empirical work has shown that improvements in the quantity and quality of public infrastructure have a positive impact on growth in the medium and, possibly, in the long run. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641072