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To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520
shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
This paper considers the role of foreign investors in developed-country equity markets. It presents a quantitative model of trading that is built around two new assumptions: (i) both the foreign and domestic investor populations contain investors of different sophistication, and (ii) investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636533
general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
The behaviour of the exchange rate under a floating exchange rate regime for a small open economy with perfect capital mobility may appear like a managed float or even a firmer peg. We present a canonical new neo-classical synthesis open economy model where the central bank follows a strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635960
A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531
This paper addresses a very European issue, the consolidation of securities trading and settlement infrastructures. In a two-country model, we analyze welfare implications of different types of consolidation. We find that horizontal integration of settlement systems is better than vertical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639440
We study the effect of interbank market integration on small firm finance in the build-up to the 2007-2008 financial crisis. We use a comprehensive data set that contains contract terms on individual loans to 6,047 firms across 14 European countries between 1998:01 and 2005:12. We account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640288