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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities

Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003

This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905

Volatility of interest rates in the euro area

Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003

This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972

Fiscal policy and inflation volatility

Rother, Philipp C. - 2004

Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero

Coenen, Günter; Orphanides, Athanasios; Wieland, Volker - 2003

This paper employs stochastic simulations of a small structural rational expectations model to investigate the consequences of the zero bound on nominal interest rates. We ﬁnd that if the economy is subject to stochastic shocks similar in magnitude to those experienced in the U.S. over the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983