Showing 1 - 10 of 58
encompasses a general unrestricted model and it forecast encompasses the competitors when tested on 20 quarters of one step ahead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636545
and hunger by 2015, as well as reaching universal primary education, reducing under-5 and maternal mortality by two thirds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998850
series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various … indicate that aggregating forecasts by component does not necessarily help forecast year-on-year inflation twelve months …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
that the cyclical position and the form of fiscal governance are major determinants of forecast biases. Projected changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009668633
business surveys data and to aggregate the nation-wide forecast into the Euro-zone forecast, we propose using an approach based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665
This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP, unemployment, price and wage inflation, interest rates, exchange-rate changes etc.) in the short run. The starting point is a so-called dynamic factor model (DFM), which is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291666
Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291667
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011661247
This is a survey on the recent game theoretic literature on committee decision making. We consider theoretical work on the role of (i) strategic voting, (ii) costly information acquisition, (iii) conflicting interests, and (iv) communication in committees. Moreover, we review recent experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635876