principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …

Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …

We apply both classical and Bayesian econometric methods to characterize the dynamic behavior of inflation for twelve … 1990s. Allowing for a break in intercept, the inflation measures generally exhibit relatively low inflation persistence …. Evidently, high inflation persistence is not an inherent characteristic of industrial economies. …

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …

This paper addresses some issues concerning the definition and measurement of inflation persistence in the context of … assumption for the long run level of inflation and that such long run level should be allowed to vary through time. Second, a non …-parametric measure of persistence is suggested which explores the relation between persistence and mean reversion. Third, inflation …

In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …

This paper analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15, the euro area and each of its member states using … moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. For most price indices we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis …, as well as the notion of disaggregate inflation exhibiting a high degree of persistence. Durable goods and services tend …

situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …

-mean autoregressive model can be used to describe characteristic features in inflation series. This implies that we decompose the … inflation process into a slowly moving nonstationary component and dynamic short-run fluctuations around it. An important … quantity to be forecast. This makes it possible to form a single model-based inflation forecast that also incorporates the …