Bussière, Matthieu; Saxena, Sweta C.; Tovar, Camilo E. - 2010
growth and output trend. Our main finding is that currency collapses are associated with a permanent output loss relative to … output. More generally, we also find that the likelihood of a positive growth rate in the year of the collapse is over two … times more likely than a contraction, and that positive growth rates in the years that follow such episodes are the norm …