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This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
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This paper provides a simple weekly model of the regular supply of liquidity in the euro area, with a view to … understanding the functioning of the euro area money market. The main result of the analysis is that liquidity has normally been … deviations of the overnight rate from the main refinancing rate. Moreover the paper finds that liquidity has affected the …
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