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Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537

Do financial market variables show (symmetric) indicator properties relative to exchange rate returns?

Castrén, Olli - 2004

This paper assesses the contemporaneous, leading and lagging indicator properties of financial market variables relative to movements in six major developed country currency pairs. As indicator variables changes in various relative asset prices, short-term portfolio flows and currency options...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639433

Towards European monetary integration

González, Fernando; Launonen, Simo - 2005

We assess monetary convergence preceding the implementation of the European Monetary Union (EMU) through Kalman filtering estimates of the risk premium of eleven forward exchange rates of European and non-European currencies. Since all participating currencies are in effect identical from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639925

Getting beyond carry trade

Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio - 2011

There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640614

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Asymmetric dynamics in the correlations of global equity and bond returns

Cappiello, Lorenzo; Engle, Robert F.; Sheppard, Kevin - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639863

Identifying the global transmission of the 2007 - 09 financial crisis in a GVAR Model

Chudik, Alexander; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2011

The paper analyses and compares the role that the tightening in liquidity conditions and the collapse in risk appetite played for the global transmission of the financial crisis. Dealing with identification and the large dimensionality of the empirical exercise with a Global VAR approach, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640611

Liquidity requirements and payment delays

Schulz, Christian - 2011

The paper presents an analysis of the trade-offs of participants of different type between payment delay and liquidity requirement on the basis of synthetically generated data. The generation of the synthetic transaction data set for a simple RTGS system is described and calibrated using real...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640617

Comparing economic dynamics in the EU and CEE accession countries

Süppel, Ralph - 2003

This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910