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Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies
Lombardo, Giovanni; Sutherland, Alan - 2003
A two-country sticky-price model is used to analyse the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy. The role of an u0091activistu0092 fiscal policy as a stabilisation tool is considered and a measure of the welfare gains from international fiscal policy cooperation is derived. It is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635884
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Measuring the time-inconsistency of US monetary policy
Surico, Paolo - 2003
This paper offers an alternative explanation for the behavior of postwar US inflation by measuring a novel source of … end up generating a systematic inflation bias through the private sector expectations of a larger policy response in … recessions than in booms. Reduced-form estimates of US monetary policy rules indicate that while the inflation target declines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635891
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Identifying the monetary transmission mechanism using structural breaks
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. As an application of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635894
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Downward nominal wage rigidity and the long-run Philips Curve
Coenen, Günter - 2003
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635901
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Inflation targets and the liquidity trap
Klaeffling, Matt; Perez, Victor Lopez - 2003
The presence of a lower bound of zero on nominal interest rates has important implications for the conduct of optimal monetary policy. Standard rational expectations models can have alternative steady states as well as non-unique laws of motion, i.e. there can be possible sunspot equilibria....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635903
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Zero lower bound
Coenen, Günter - 2003
such as the shortterm nominal interest rate, annual inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906
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Forecasting real GDP
Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
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Swiss monetary policy targeting 1974 - 1996
Rich, Georg - 2003
adoption of monetary targets, the SNB was able to reduce the inflation trend to low levels. However, it was less successful in … preemptive policy stance. At the end of 1999, the SNB abandoned monetary targeting in favour of an approach based on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635971
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Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero
Coenen, Günter; Orphanides, Athanasios; Wieland, Volker - 2003
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
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On the indeterminacy of new-Keynesian economics
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2004
We study identiÞcation in a class of three-equation monetary models. We argue that these models are typically not identiÞed. For any given exactly identiffed model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalent models that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636546