This report provides an update of the trends to 2030 published in 2003. The new baseline takes into account a high energy import price environment, the unsatisfactory economic growth of recent years and the more subdued growth prospects taking into account demographic developments. It includes,...

Dieses Grünbuch möchte als Katalysator wirken, um auf allen Ebenen der europäischen Gesellschaft – sei es auf EU-Gemeinschaftsebene, sei es auf einzelstaatlicher, regionaler oder kommunaler Ebene – auf eine erneuerte Energieeffizienz-Initiative hinzuwirken. ... Wettbewerbsfähigkeit und...

Die Auswirkungen unseres Konsums sind weltweit spürbar: Die EU ist abhängig von der Einfuhr von Energie und Rohstoffen, und ein immer größerer Anteil der in Europa verbrauchten Produkte wird in anderen Teilen der Welt produziert. Nicht-nachhaltige Verbrauchs- und Produktionsmuster haben...

This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...

This monthly monetary model for the euro area is gradually constructed from its two constituting components: a money demand and a loan demand model which both include the relation between the respective retail bank rates and the short-term market interest rate. Eventually, the encompassing...

Traditional Taylor rules, which are estimated using a level specification linking the short-term interest rate to inflation and the output gap, are unstable when estimated on euro area data and forecast poorly out of sample. We present an alternative reaction function which takes the...

This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission along the euro area money market yield curve. A new multivariate unobserved components model is proposed allowing for both long-memory and stationary cyclical dynamics. Using...