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Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca; Sánchez, Marcelo - 2004

This paper assesses empirically the effects of oil price shocks on the real economic activity of the main industrialised countries. Multivariate VAR analysis is carried out using both linear and nonlinear models. The latter category includes three approaches employed in the literature, namely,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639416

Saudi Aramco and the oil market

Nakov, Anton; Nuño, Galo - 2011

We present a general equilibrium model of the global oil market, in which the oil price, oil production, and consumption, are jointly determined as outcomes of the optimizing decisions of oil importers and oil exporters. On the supply side the oil market is modelled as a dominant firm – Saudi...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640843

Industry linkages and transmission shocks in Germany

Marcusson, Mats - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116924

Implementing optimal control in cointegrated I(1) structural VAR models

Monti, Francesca V. - 2003

This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883

US, Japan and the euro area

McAdam, Peter - 2003

forecasting, model selection and policy analysis etc. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635889

A monthly monetary model with banking intermediation for the euro area

Bruggeman, Annick; Donnay, Marie - 2003

This monthly monetary model for the euro area is gradually constructed from its two constituting components: a money demand and a loan demand model which both include the relation between the respective retail bank rates and the short-term market interest rate. Eventually, the encompassing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635913

Why has broad money demand been more stable in the euro area than in other economies?

Calza, Alessandro; Sousa, João - 2003

Based on a literature review, this paper investigates the reasons why broad money demand has usually been found to be more stable in the euro area than in other large economies. The paper concludes that there are three main explanations for this fact. First, in some countries outside the euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635916

Is the demand for euro area M3 stable?

Bruggeman, Annick; Donati, Paola; Warne, Anders - 2003

be useful in forecasting exercises.F inally, the conclusions are robust for the aggregation method and the choice of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635921

Interpolation and backdating with a large information set

Angelini, Elena; Henry, Jérôme; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2003

Existing methods for data interpolation or backdating are either univariate or based on a very limited number of series, due to data and computing constraints that were binding until the recent past. Nowadays large datasets are readily available, and models with hundreds of parameters are fastly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635924

Forecasting euro area inflation

Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the … ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area …) as opposed to forecasting the aggregate HICP directly. The analysis includes univariate and multivariate linear time …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954