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u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial … in inflation that were matched by growth rates in M2 and nominal GDP but not real GDP in each country and cross …-country averages. Inflationary expectations as estimated by bond rates less real growth trends indicated little inflation expectation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635923
We compute average mark-ups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries covering the period 1970-2007, show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640368
The analysis of the macroeconomic impact of fiscal policies in the euro area has been traditionally limited by the absence of quarterly fiscal data. To overcome this problem, we provide two new databases in this paper. Firstly, we construct a quarterly database of euro area fiscal variables for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640447
capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640338
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640371
The role of money in society has been a controversial topic in economic theory over many years. Particular attention has been devoted to the analysis whether there should be competition in the supply of money, or whether this is best left to a governmental agency. This paper reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635956
The paper analyses the EU fiscal rules from a political economy perspective and derives some policy lessons. Following a literature survey, the paper stresses the importance of appropriate incentives for rule compliance in an environment where national fiscal sovereignty precludes the option of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639482
The financial crisis of 2008/2009 has left European economies with a sizeable public debt stock bringing back the … determining major public debt reductions. On average, the total debt reduction per country amounted to almost 37 percentage points … of GDP. We estimate several specifications of a logistic probability model. Our findings suggest that, first, major debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640299
Do public sector wages exert pressures on private sector wages, or has the private sector a leadership role in wage setting? This paper tries to isolate the pure signalling effect that one sector might exert on the other by controlling for other determinants of wages (prices, productivity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640411
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478771