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Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy

Klaeffling, Matt - 2003

prior theory and yet it encompasses all standard DSGE models. After introducing this new paradigm I study US monetary policy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635920

Implementing optimal control in cointegrated I(1) structural VAR models

Monti, Francesca V. - 2003

This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883

Monetary policy analysis in a small open economy using Bayesian cointegrated structural VARs

Villani, Mattias; Warne, Anders - 2003

Structural VARs have been extensively used in empirical macroeconomics during the last two decades, particularly in analyses of monetary policy. Existing Bayesian procedures for structural VARs are at best confined to a severly limited handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519

Inflation and relative price asymmetry

Ratfai, Attila - 2004

. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524

What are the spill-overs from fiscal shocks in Europe?

Giuliodori, Massimo; Beetsma, Roel - 2004

We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548

Frequency domain principal components estimation of fractionally cointegrated processes

Morana, Claudio - 2004

In this paper we study the zero frequency spectral properties of fractionally cointegrated long memory processes and introduce a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the factor loading matrix for the long memory factors. We find that for fractionally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636544

Forecasting real GDP

Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003

1 has better and more robust forecasting properties for real GDP than yield spreads. This property persists when one … controls for a number of other influences. We also evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different classes of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922

Identifying fiscal shocks and policy regimes in OECD countries

Arcangelis, Giuseppe de; Lamartina, Serena - 2003

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887

Identifying the monetary transmission mechanism using structural breaks

Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003

We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. As an application of our...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635894

Forecasting euro area inflation

Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the … ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area …) as opposed to forecasting the aggregate HICP directly. The analysis includes univariate and multivariate linear time …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954