Showing 1 - 10 of 153
In this paper we study risk-neutral densities (RNDs) for the German stock market. The use of option prices allows us to … quantify the risk-neutral probabilities of various levels of the DAX index. For the period from December 1995 to November 2001 …, we implement the mixture of log-normals model and a volatility-smoothing method. We discuss the time series behaviour of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639855
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response … shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will … for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335223
This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market expectations, as measured by the skewness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538
future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval … option prices. We find that the OTC implied volatilities explain a much larger share of the variation in realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639420
This paper proposes a new test for the asset pricing model of the exchange rate. It examines whether the way market analysts generate their forecasts is closer to the one implied by the asset pricing model, or to any of those implied by some alternative models. The asset pricing model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640340
During the last decade, markets for covered warrants (bank-issued options) have flourished in Europe and Asia. In these markets, investors often face a choice between many instruments that differ only slightly from each other. Based on retail trades in call options on the German DAX index, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640343
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new … calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward … sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk premium increased significantly during the crisis, whereas the long-run mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640393