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Reshaping the Chinese growth model – a formidable challenge of the 12th five-year plan
Melander, Annika; Rudolf, Moritz - 2011
Private consumption is a key component in the rebalancing of growth that China is seeking, and a challenging one. Not …. Understanding what drove the consumption share down to a mere 36% of GDP in China is thus vital. This brief explores the many … reasons for the high precautionary savings that followed in the wake of the reform process in China. In particular, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291913
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Is China transitioning to a lower growth plateau?
Bertoldi, Moreno; Melander, Annika - 2013
China's economy slowed significantly in the first three quarters of 2012 and questions have been raised on a possible … understand what is driving this slowdown and how lasting it may be given China's importance as an engine for global growth. Is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298658
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Die wirtschaftliche und soziale Lage in den baltischen Staaten : Litauen ; Studie
Gruževskis, Boguzlavas; Blažienė, Inga - Europäischer Wirtschafts- und Sozialausschuss - 2013
If the various data are combined, the only conclusion to be drawn is that the effects of the crisis and the social consequences of the economic downturn are largely related to the economic and social policies of a country's government. A review of the basic socioeconomic indicators for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249540
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Die wirtschaftliche und soziale Lage in den baltischen Staaten : Lettland ; Studie
Kajaks, Jānis - Europäischer Wirtschafts- und Sozialauschuss - 2013
While Latvia had one of the world’s fastest growth rates before the recession, it has lost about a quarter of its GDP since the recession hit. Although the economy is now growing at a good pace, the projections of the ministry for economic affairs suggest that, at best, it will not be able to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249541
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An indicator of economic sentiment for the italian economy
Bruno, Giancarlo; Malgarini, Marco - Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica, Rom - 2002
The long and sustained expansion of the nineties has generated, especially in the US, widespread rumours about the "death of the cycle". Nevertheless, towards the end of the last decade, it became clear that fluctuations of economic activity were far from being extinct. This has contributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291664
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Forecasting Euro area industrial production using (mostly) business surveys data
Bruno, Giancarlo; Lupi, Claudio - Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica, Rom - 2003
In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy). The basic idea is that of estimating business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665
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Business survey data: do they help in forecasting the macro economy?
Hansson, Jesper; Jansson, Per; Löf, Mårten - Konjunkturinstitutet, Stockholm - 2003
This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP, unemployment, price and wage inflation, interest rates, exchange-rate changes etc.) in the short run. The starting point is a so-called dynamic factor model (DFM), which is used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291666
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A monthly indicator of the business climate in the french service industry : applications of benchmarking techniques in official statistics
Cornec, Matthieu; Deperraz, Thierry - Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes … - 2005
Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291667