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Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inﬂation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954

Fiscal policy and inflation volatility

Rother, Philipp C. - 2004

Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540

New Keynesian Phillips Curves

McAdam, Peter; Willman, Alpo - 2003

Using euro-area data, we re-examine the empirical success of New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPCs). The nature of our re-evaluation relies on the actual empirical underpinnings of such estimates: we find existing estimates un-robust and u0096 given that key parameters are generally calibrated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635912

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Interpolation and backdating with a large information set

Angelini, Elena; Henry, Jérôme; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2003

Existing methods for data interpolation or backdating are either univariate or based on a very limited number of series, due to data and computing constraints that were binding until the recent past. Nowadays large datasets are readily available, and models with hundreds of parameters are fastly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635924

Interpolation and backdating with a large information set

Angelini, Elena; Henry, Jérôme; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2003

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640916

Is inflation persistence intrinsic in industrial economies?

Levin, Andrew T.; Piger, Jeremy M. - 2004

We apply both classical and Bayesian econometric methods to characterize the dynamic behavior of inflation for twelve … 1990s. Allowing for a break in intercept, the inflation measures generally exhibit relatively low inflation persistence …. Evidently, high inflation persistence is not an inherent characteristic of industrial economies. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636705

Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy

Klaeffling, Matt - 2003

This paper proposes a new paradigm for the analysis of monetary policy. From an econometric point of view this new approach is just as easy to implement as reduced form analysis, but is robust to the Lucas critique. It requires no explicit prior theory and yet it encompasses all standard DSGE...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635920

Public finances and long-term growth in Europe

De Ávila, Diego Romero; Strauch, Rolf - 2003

In Lisbon the European Council proclaimed a European growth strategy. It considers an average economic u0093growth rate of around 3 percent as a realistic prospect for the coming yearsu0094 and assigns public finances an important role in the process of achieving this goal. This paper addresses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635955

Unemployment, hysteresis and transition

León-Ledesma, Miguel; McAdam, Peter - 2003

We quantify the degree of persistence in unemployment rates of transition countries using a variety of methods benchmarked against the EU. In part of the paper, we work with the concept of linear u0093Hysteresisu0094 as described by the presence of unit roots in unemployment. Since this is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635980