Showing 1 - 10 of 64
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529
This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883
handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends the Bayesian analysis of structural VARs to cover cointegrated … processes with an arbitrary number of cointegrating relations and general linear restrictions on the cointegration space. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519
introduce a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the factor loading matrix for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636544
This paper examines the degree of price rigidity in Belgian consumer prices, using a large database. As to the observed degree of rigidity, the results reveal a substantial amount of heterogeneity, not only across but also within product categories. While prices turn out to be perfectly flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636700
Recent empirical studies on the inflation-growth-relationship underline that inflation has negative growth effects … already under relatively modest rates. Most contributions to monetary growth theory, however, have difficulties in explaining … influence of inflation on factor substitution. It turns out that already in a simple neoclassical monetary growth model this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635886
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this …. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527