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The natural real rate of interest in the euro area

Giammarioli, Nicola; Valla, Natacha - 2003

In this paper, we discuss the consequences of taking into account the variations of the natural real interest rate (r t *) in simple monetary policy rules. We also provide one possible model-based analysis of the level of r t * that has prevailed in the euro area since the early 1970s, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635981

Option-implied asymmetries in bond market expectations around monetary policy actions of the ECB

Vähämaa, Sami - 2004

This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around … monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market … expectations, as measured by the skewness of option-implied probability distributions of future bond yields. The results show that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538

Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities

Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003

premia in bond prices. Moreover, the estimated premia vary over time in a quantitatively significant way, which implies that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905

Information acquisition and decision making in committees

Gerling, Kerstin; Grüner, Hans Peter; Kiel, Alexandra; … - 2003

This is a survey on the recent game theoretic literature on committee decision making. We consider theoretical work on the role of (i) strategic voting, (ii) costly information acquisition, (iii) conflicting interests, and (iv) communication in committees. Moreover, we review recent experimental...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635876

Government deficits, wealth effects and the price level in an optimizing model

Annicchiarico, Barbara - 2003

This paper investigates the in inflationary effects of fscal policy in an optimizing general equilibrium monetary model with capital accumulation, exible prices and wealth effects. The model is calibrated to Euro Area quarterly data. Simulation results show that government defcits, high debt...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635879

Implementing optimal control in cointegrated I(1) structural VAR models

Monti, Francesca V. - 2003

This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883

Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies

Lombardo, Giovanni; Sutherland, Alan - 2003

A two-country sticky-price model is used to analyse the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy. The role of an u0091activistu0092 fiscal policy as a stabilisation tool is considered and a measure of the welfare gains from international fiscal policy cooperation is derived. It is found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635884

Inflation persistence and robust monetary policy design

Coenen, Günter - 2003

This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inﬂation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635885

Inflation, factor substitution and growth

Klump, Rainer - 2003

already under relatively modest rates. Most contributions to monetary growth theory, however, have difficulties in explaining …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635886

Optimal dynamic risk sharing when enforcement is a decision variable

Koeppl, Thorsten V. - 2003

Societies provide institutions that are costly to use, but able to enforce long-run relationships. We study the optimal decision problem of using self-governance for risk sharing or governance through enforcement provided by these institutions. Third-party enforcement is modelled as a costly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635888