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In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data … derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy … in France and Germany; as far as Italy is concerned, forecasts are produced using a model that in the recent past proved …
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The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a …
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The long and sustained expansion of the nineties has generated, especially in the US, widespread rumours about the "death of the cycle". Nevertheless, towards the end of the last decade, it became clear that fluctuations of economic activity were far from being extinct. This has contributed...
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