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worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
stimulating and disciplining environment for large companies while at the same time facilitating the growth of young innovative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640166
Private consumption is a key component in the rebalancing of growth that China is seeking, and a challenging one. Not …. Understanding what drove the consumption share down to a mere 36% of GDP in China is thus vital. This brief explores the many … reasons for the high precautionary savings that followed in the wake of the reform process in China. In particular, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291913
understand what is driving this slowdown and how lasting it may be given China's importance as an engine for global growth. Is …China's economy slowed significantly in the first three quarters of 2012 and questions have been raised on a possible … downturn; or is it in a transition to lower but still sustained growth rates? …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298658
Since the release of the 12th Five-Year Plan in 2011, a reform of China's household registration system – the so …-called hukou reform - is mentioned as a possible tool to promote labour mobility, boost incomes, rebalance the growth model towards … so far (beyond some experiments at the provincial level). In the context of growing urbanisation pressures in China, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298665
-income' trap, China's leaders are attempting to engineer a reorientation of the economy towards more sustainable sources of growth …China's economy is at a cross roads. The factors that have driven its economic transformation over the last decades are …. While considerable success has been achieved, more needs to be done more quickly before the authorities in China can prove …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298680
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914
This paper investigates the pass-through of external shocks, i.e. oil price shocks, exchange rate shocks, and non-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices). The analysis is based on a VAR model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635958
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520