Showing 1 - 10 of 16
-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer … large fraction of the variance in all price indices. They seem to have contributed largely to inflation in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635958
perspective, for both individual countries and the euro area as a whole. Analysis firstly involves the estimation of PTM effects … higher than one half. The results from illustrative simulations suggest that the increase in euro-area inflation during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636522
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009637069
Recent empirical studies on the inflation-growth-relationship underline that inflation has negative growth effects … influence of inflation on factor substitution. It turns out that already in a simple neoclassical monetary growth model this … potential positive effects of inflation along the convergence path. In a more general perspective the paper contributes to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635886
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … application of the minimum distance estimation. The estimated model can explain the cyclical behavior of employment, hours per … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core in- flation estimation, based on a frequency domain … principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529