Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 149
Cover Image
US, Japan and the euro area
McAdam, Peter - 2003
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and the euro area. Using Markov-switching techniques, in this paper we identify and compare specifically their major business-cycle features and examine the case for a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635889
Cover Image
On the indeterminacy of determinacy and indeterminacy
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896
Cover Image
Forecasting real GDP
Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003
1 has better and more robust forecasting properties for real GDP than yield spreads. This property persists when one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
Cover Image
Zero lower bound
Coenen, Günter - 2003
This paper presents the results of a quantitative study of the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates which was undertaken in the context of the review of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy in Spring 2003. Focusing on the euro area, the paper provides an assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906
Cover Image
Bond market inflation expectations and longer-term trends in broad monetary growth and inflation in industrial countries, 1880 - 2001
Dewald, William G. - 2003
u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial Countries, 1880-2001u0094 by William G. Dewald, Professor of Economics Emeritus, Ohio State University and Former Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635923
Cover Image
Volatility of interest rates in the euro area
Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003
. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission … along the euro area money market yield curve. A new multivariate unobserved components model is proposed allowing for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
Cover Image
Fiscal policy and inflation volatility
Rother, Philipp C. - 2004
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern …. These include higher risk premia, hedging costs and unforeseen redistribution of wealth. This paper presents panel … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
Cover Image
Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare
Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Cover Image
Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics
Trigari, Antonella - 2004
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price rigidities. Then, it estimates a set of structural parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527