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Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics
Trigari, Antonella - 2004
helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
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What are the spill-overs from fiscal shocks in Europe?
Giuliodori, Massimo; Beetsma, Roel - 2004
We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
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The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis
Christiano, Lawrence; Motto, Roberto; Rostagno, Massimo - 2004
simple and familiar one. The contraction phase was primarily a consequence of a shock that induced a shift away from … slowness of the recovery from the Depression was due to a shock that increased the market power of workers. We identify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636549
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Inflation and relative price asymmetry
Ratfai, Attila - 2004
By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
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Identifying fiscal shocks and policy regimes in OECD countries
Arcangelis, Giuseppe de; Lamartina, Serena - 2003
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
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Forecasting real GDP
Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
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Implementing optimal control in cointegrated I(1) structural VAR models
Monti, Francesca V. - 2003
This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883
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Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy
Klaeffling, Matt - 2003
This paper proposes a new paradigm for the analysis of monetary policy. From an econometric point of view this new approach is just as easy to implement as reduced form analysis, but is robust to the Lucas critique. It requires no explicit prior theory and yet it encompasses all standard DSGE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635920
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Monetary policy analysis in a small open economy using Bayesian cointegrated structural VARs
Villani, Mattias; Warne, Anders - 2003
Structural VARs have been extensively used in empirical macroeconomics during the last two decades, particularly in analyses of monetary policy. Existing Bayesian procedures for structural VARs are at best confined to a severly limited handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519
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Evaluation of Visibility of EU external action : Final Report ; Volume 1
PARTICIP GmbH Consultants für Entwicklung und Umwelt, … - 2012
The mandate for this study was to undertake an evaluation of EU external action as managed by three DGs: DG RELEX, DG DEV and DG AIDCO. The Terms of Reference identified two main objectives (ToR, Feb 2010, Section 1 – reproduced in Annex 1): · To provide an overall independent assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799380