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This paper employs stochastic simulations of a small structural rational expectations model to investigate the consequences of the zero bound on nominal interest rates. We find that if the economy is subject to stochastic shocks similar in magnitude to those experienced in the U.S. over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inflation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635885
This paper presents the results of a quantitative study of the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates which was undertaken in the context of the review of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy in Spring 2003. Focusing on the euro area, the paper provides an assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906
including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532
We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … application of the minimum distance estimation. The estimated model can explain the cyclical behavior of employment, hours per … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
On several occasions during the period 2001-2003, the European Central Bank (ECB) decided to deviate from its "neutral" benchmark allotment rule, with the effect of not alleviating a temporary liquidity shortage in the banking system. This is remarkable because it implied the possibility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636518
In this paper we first explore the impact of nominal and real persistence on the transmission process of various shocks in an estimated DSGE model of euro area. We then analyse its impact on optimal monetary policy and investigate the performance of various monetary policies when the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635926
the degree of partial adjustment as opposed to a serially correlated policy shock. Moreover, we estimate a nested model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635982