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We quantify the degree of persistence in unemployment rates of transition countries using a variety of methods … presence of unit roots in unemployment. Since this is potentially a narrow definition, we also take into account the existence … of structural breaks and non-linear dynamics in unemployment. Finally, we examine whether CEECsu0092 unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635980
This paper develops a model with multiple steady states (low tax and unemployment rate versus high tax and unemployment … European unemployment rates observed during the seventies. The explanation given is that even if the unemployment rate would … job creation remains low making the return to a low unemployment rate impossible. The paper shows that in some cases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635968
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
We apply both classical and Bayesian econometric methods to characterize the dynamic behavior of inflation for twelve … 1990s. Allowing for a break in intercept, the inflation measures generally exhibit relatively low inflation persistence …. Evidently, high inflation persistence is not an inherent characteristic of industrial economies. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636705
This paper analyzes the stability over time of the econometric process for Euro-area in nation since 1970, focusing in particular on the behaviour of the so-called persistence parameter (the sum of the coeffcients on the lagged dependent variables). Perhaps surprisingly, in light of the Lucas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636706
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009638685
Junge Menschen in Europa haben weiterhin große Schwierigkeiten beim Eintritt in den Arbeitsmarkt. Obwohl die … Jugendarbeitslosenquote in einigen Mitgliedstaaten allmählich zurückgeht, konnten insgesamt 23 % der jungen Arbeitssuchenden in Europa im … Europa ohne Arbeit und absolvierten keine allgemeine oder berufliche Ausbildung (NEETs), das entspricht 15,9 % der …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392289