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International risk-sharing and the transmission of productivity shocks

Corsetti, Giancarlo; Dedola, Luca; Leduc, Sylvain - 2004

A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537

Growth expectations, capital flows and international risk sharing

Castrén, Olli; Miller, Marcus; Stiegert, Roger - 2003

Over the past decades, cross-border financial flows have increased in importance and have in many occasions exceeded the underlying current account positions. This phenomenon has been accompanied by an increase in the volume of international equity transactions that accentuate the role of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970

Current accounts dynamics in OECD and EU acceding countries

Bussière, Matthieu; Fratzscher, Marcel; Müller, Gernot J. - 2004

The paper extends the standard intertemporal model of the current account to include two important stylised facts: (1) the persistence of current account positions and (2) the relevance of the fiscal balance. Specifically, the paper derives a closed form solution for consumption in the presence...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636534

Real exchange rate in an inter-temporal n-country-model with incomplete markets

Mercereau, Benoît - 2003

We develop an N-country model with stock markets in which closed-form solutions for the real exchange rate is derived. Our model allows for a given number of risky-assets, which form an incomplete market. Risky asset prices and allocations of risky assets among countries are determined...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639862

Methodological advances in the assessment of equilibrium exchange rates

Bussière, Matthieu; Ca’ Zorzi, Michele; Chudík, … - 2010

. The third issue discusses the uncertainty associated to the estimation of a reduced form relationship for the real … exchange rate, concluding that inference can be improved by panel estimation. The fourth and final issue addresses the presence … of strong and weak cross section dependence in panel estimation, suggesting which panel estimators one could use in this …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640408

Measuring contagion with a Bayesian, time-varying coefficient model

Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2003

To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coeﬃcient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914

Comparing economic dynamics in the EU and CEE accession countries

Süppel, Ralph - 2003

This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953