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This paper analyses the link between economic fundamentals and exchange rates by investigating the importance of real-time data. We find that such economic news in the United States, Germany and the euro area have indeed been a driving force behind daily US dollar – euro/DEM exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639419
Price level targeting has been proposed as an alternative to inflation targeting that may confer benefits if a central … bank sets policy under discretion, even if societyu0092s loss function is specified in terms of inflation (instead of price …-of-thumb to form inflation expectations, or does not fully understand the nature of the target, price level targeting may in fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635890
This paper offers an alternative explanation for the behavior of postwar US inflation by measuring a novel source of … end up generating a systematic inflation bias through the private sector expectations of a larger policy response in … recessions than in booms. Reduced-form estimates of US monetary policy rules indicate that while the inflation target declines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635891
The presence of a lower bound of zero on nominal interest rates has important implications for the conduct of optimal monetary policy. Standard rational expectations models can have alternative steady states as well as non-unique laws of motion, i.e. there can be possible sunspot equilibria....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635903
help anchoring inflation expectations. We use survey data on long-term inflation expectations in 15 industrial countries … since the early nineties to investigate how well anchored are inflation expectations. We find that in all countries except … Japan long-term inflation expectations are well anchored and, generally, increasingly so over the past decade. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635904
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953