Showing 1 - 10 of 20
This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
In this note we demonstrate that in affine models for bilateral exchange rates, the nature of return interdependence during crises depends on the tail properties of the fundamentals' distributions. We denote crisis linkages as either strong or weak, in the sense that the dependence remains or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636547
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009638720
This brochure presents the environmental co-operation of the EU with China by highlighting a number of selected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249551
Private consumption is a key component in the rebalancing of growth that China is seeking, and a challenging one. Not …. Understanding what drove the consumption share down to a mere 36% of GDP in China is thus vital. This brief explores the many … reasons for the high precautionary savings that followed in the wake of the reform process in China. In particular, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291913
China's economy slowed significantly in the first three quarters of 2012 and questions have been raised on a possible … understand what is driving this slowdown and how lasting it may be given China's importance as an engine for global growth. Is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298658