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Exchange rates and fundamentals
Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
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International equity flows and returns
Albuquerque, Rui; Bauer, Gregory H.; Schneider, Martin - 2004
This paper considers the role of foreign investors in developed-country equity markets. It presents a quantitative model of trading that is built around two new assumptions: (i) both the foreign and domestic investor populations contain investors of different sophistication, and (ii) investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636533
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The credibility of the monetary policy "free lunch"
Yetman, James - 2003
level) volatility. This paper demonstrates the sensitivity of this argument. If even a small portion of agents use a rule … has preferences specified in terms of price level, rather than inflation, volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635890
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On the indeterminacy of determinacy and indeterminacy
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896
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Indeterminacy of rational expectations equilibria in sequential financial markets
Donati, Paola - 2003
We provide a general characterization of the structure of rational expectations equilibria of any degree of revelation for pure exchange, sequential economies, with deffinitely many states of private information, an incomplete financial market and nominal assets. We estimate the dimension of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635915
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On the indeterminacy of new-Keynesian economics
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2004
We study identiÞcation in a class of three-equation monetary models. We argue that these models are typically not identiÞed. For any given exactly identiffed model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalent models that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636546
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Balance Sheet Interlinkages and Macro-Financial Risk Analysis in the Euro Area
Kavonius, Ilja Kristian; Castrén, Olli - 2009
leverage and asset volatility. We conclude that the bilateral cross-sector exposures in the euro area financial system … financial intermediaries playing a key role in the processes. High financial leverage and high asset volatility are found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640455
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Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare
Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities
Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
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Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy
Derviz, Alexis - 2004
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537