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Measuring contagion with a Bayesian, time-varying coefficient model

Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2003

To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coeﬃcient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914

Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices

Gropp, Reint; Moerman, Gerard - 2003

This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520

Inflation and relative price asymmetry

Ratfai, Attila - 2004

. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524

Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics

Trigari, Antonella - 2004

general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527

Monetary policy shocks in the euro area and global liquidity spillovers

Sousa, João; Zaghini, Andrea - 2004

including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532

What are the spill-overs from fiscal shocks in Europe?

Giuliodori, Massimo; Beetsma, Roel - 2004

We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548

Identifying fiscal shocks and policy regimes in OECD countries

Arcangelis, Giuseppe de; Lamartina, Serena - 2003

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887

Pass-through of external shocks to euro area inflation

Hahn, Elke - 2003

This paper investigates the pass-through of external shocks, i.e. oil price shocks, exchange rate shocks, and non-oil import price shocks to euro area inﬂation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices). The analysis is based on a VAR model that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635958

International risk-sharing and the transmission of productivity shocks

Corsetti, Giancarlo; Dedola, Luca; Leduc, Sylvain - 2004

A central puzzle in international finance is that real exchange rates are volatile and, in stark contradiction to effcient risk-sharing, negatively correlated with cross-country consumption ratios. This paper shows that incomplete asset markets and a low price elasticity of tradables can account...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636531

Raising rival's costs in the securities settlement industry

Holthausen, Cornelia; Tapking, Jens - 2004

The competition between a central securities depository (CSD) and a custodian bank is analysed in a Stackelberg model. The CSD sets its prices first, the custodian bank follows. There are many investor banks each of which has to decide whether to use the service of the CSD or of the custodian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639430