Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …

help anchoring inflation expectations. We use survey data on long-term inflation expectations in 15 industrial countries … since the early nineties to investigate how well anchored are inflation expectations. We find that in all countries except … Japan long-term inflation expectations are well anchored and, generally, increasingly so over the past decade. When …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …

principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …

the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …

u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial … in inflation that were matched by growth rates in M2 and nominal GDP but not real GDP in each country and cross …-country averages. Inflationary expectations as estimated by bond rates less real growth trends indicated little inflation expectation …

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …