Showing 1 - 10 of 143
premia in bond prices. Moreover, the estimated premia vary over time in a quantitatively significant way, which implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
model describes the macroeconomy. Bond yields are affine functions of the state variables of the macromodel, and are derived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639487
house price inflation, strong private debt growth and low credit risk spreads. The results suggest that (i) monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640363
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640416
We study fiscal behaviour and the sovereign yield curve in the U.S. and Germany in the period 1981:I-2009:IV. The latent factors, level, slope and curvature, obtained with the Kalman filter, are used in a VAR with macro and fiscal variables, controlling for financial stress conditions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640508
The banking system is modeled in a closed system of financial accounts, whereby the equilibrium volume of bank intermediation between households and corporates reflects structural parameters such as household preferences, comparative cost structures of heterogeneous banks, loan demand of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640688
This paper analyzes the efficiency of risk-taking decisions in an economy that is prone to systemic risk, captured by financial amplification effects that occur in response to strong adverse shocks. It shows that decentralized agents who have unconstrained access to a complete set of Arrow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640834
This paper provides a study of bond yield differentials among EU eurobonds issued between 1991 and 2002. Interest … and debt-service ratio and depend positively on the issuer’s relative bond market size. Global investors’ attitude towards … credit risk, measured as the yield spread between low grade US corporate bonds and government bonds, also affects bond yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639423
compensation, inflation expectations and inflation risk premia in the euro area bond market. Latent factor models like ours fit …This paper investigates the link between the perceived inflation risks in macroeconomic forecasts and the inflation … risk premia embodied in financial instruments. We first provide some stylized facts about the term structure of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640397
This paper uses a dynamic panel approach to explain the determinants of widening sovereign bond yield spreads vis … debt ratios relative to Germany contributed to higher government bond yield spreads in the euro area during the analysed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640448