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Downward nominal wage rigidity and the long-run Philips Curve
Coenen, Günter - 2003
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635901
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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities
Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
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Consumer inflation expectations in Poland
£yziak, Tomasz - 2003
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
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Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour
Afonso, António; Martins, Manuel M.F. - 2010
We study fiscal behaviour and the sovereign yield curve in the U.S. and Germany in the period 1981:I-2009:IV. The latent factors, level, slope and curvature, obtained with the Kalman filter, are used in a VAR with macro and fiscal variables, controlling for financial stress conditions. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640508
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Getting beyond carry trade
Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio - 2011
There is already a substantial literature documenting the fact that low yield currencies typically appreciate during times of global financial stress and behave as safe havens. The main objective of this paper is to find out what the fundamentals of safe haven currencies are. We analyse a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640614
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Sovereign credit ratings and financial markets linkages
Afonso, António; Furceri, Davide; Gomes, Pedro - 2011
We use EU sovereign bond yield and CDS spreads daily data to carry out an event study analysis on the reaction of government yield spreads before and after announcements from rating agencies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch). Our results show: significant responses of government bond yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640836
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Epstein-Zin preferences and their use in macro-finance models
Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; Loublier, Alexis - 2010
Epstein-Zin preferences have attracted significant attention within the macro-finance literature based on DSGE models as they allow to substantially increase risk aversion, and consequently generate non-trivial risk premia, without compromising the ability of standard models to achieve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640331
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Balance Sheet Interlinkages and Macro-Financial Risk Analysis in the Euro Area
Kavonius, Ilja Kristian; Castrén, Olli - 2009
The financial crisis has highlighted the need for models that can identify counterparty risk exposures and shock transmission processes at the systemic level. We use the euro area financial accounts (flow of funds) data to construct a sector-level network of bilateral balance sheet exposures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640455
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Central bank communication on financial stability
Born, Benjamin; Ehrmann, Michael; Fratzscher, Marcel - 2011
Central banks regularly communicate about financial stability issues, by publishing Financial Stability Reports (FSRs) and through speeches and interviews. The paper asks how such communications affect financial markets. Building a unique dataset, it provides an empirical assessment of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640771
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Exchange rates and fundamentals
Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003
supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953