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Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Volatility of interest rates in the euro area

Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003

This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972

Comparing economic dynamics in the EU and CEE accession countries

Süppel, Ralph - 2003

This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537

Fundamentals and joint currency crises

Hartmann, Philipp; Straetmans, Stefan; Vries, Casper de - 2004

In this note we demonstrate that in affine models for bilateral exchange rates, the nature of return interdependence during crises depends on the tail properties of the fundamentals' distributions. We denote crisis linkages as either strong or weak, in the sense that the dependence remains or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636547

Fiscal policy and inflation volatility

Rother, Philipp C. - 2004

Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540

Besser, aber noch nicht die Besten : unternehmenspolitische Maßnahmen zur Steigerung der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit Europas ; Arbeitsdokument der Kommissionsdienststellen

Europäische Kommission - 2000

Will die Europäische Union ihr erklärtes Ziel erreichen, sich zur wettbewerbsfähigsten und dynamischsten wissensbasierten Wirtschaft der Welt zu entwickeln, dann muss sie ihre Wettbewerbsleistung drastisch steigern. Obwohl sie die besten makroökonomischen Bedingungen des Jahrzehnts und...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635873

Realer Wechselkurs in Mittel- und Osteuropa: Welcher Umfang für die grundlegenden Fundamente?

Dufrenot, Gilles; Égert, Balázs - 2003

The aim of this paper is to study the fundamental macroeconomic determinants of both the CPI and the PPI-based real effective exchange rate in 5 selected acceding countries from central and eastern Europe, i.e. the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia. The paper is based on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636881

Estimates of Fundamental Real Exchange Rates for the Five EU Pre-Accession Countries

mídková, Katerina; Barrell, Ray; Holland, Dawn - 2002

Are there indications of real exchange rate misalignment in the case of the five pre- accession countries? Will stable real exchange rates, required by two of the Maastricht criteria, be in line with economic fundamentals in the pre-Economic and monetary union period in these countries? In order...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636947