The long and sustained expansion of the nineties has generated, especially in the US, widespread rumours about the "death of the cycle". Nevertheless, towards the end of the last decade, it became clear that fluctuations of economic activity were far from being extinct. This has contributed...

In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy). The basic idea is that of estimating business...

This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP, unemployment, price and wage inflation, interest rates, exchange-rate changes etc.) in the short run. The starting point is a so-called dynamic factor model (DFM), which is used...

Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...

This report monitors progress achieved in the implementation of the GAP II during its second year of implementation, in 2017. It shows progress and actions taken by EU Delegations, the European Commission, the External Action Service (EEAS) and by EU Member States throughout 2017, while...

The purpose of this study is to provide background information on and analysis of the consequences of the EU Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) on sustainable development in West Africa, and to make recommendations on ways of achieving coherence between its fisheries policies, and other policies,...