The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …

Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …

series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various … indicate that aggregating forecasts by component does not necessarily help forecast year-on-year inflation twelve months …

the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve …

help anchoring inflation expectations. We use survey data on long-term inflation expectations in 15 industrial countries … since the early nineties to investigate how well anchored are inflation expectations. We find that in all countries except … Japan long-term inflation expectations are well anchored and, generally, increasingly so over the past decade. When …

u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial … in inflation that were matched by growth rates in M2 and nominal GDP but not real GDP in each country and cross …-country averages. Inflationary expectations as estimated by bond rates less real growth trends indicated little inflation expectation …

Price level targeting has been proposed as an alternative to inflation targeting that may confer benefits if a central … bank sets policy under discretion, even if societyu0092s loss function is specified in terms of inflation (instead of price …-of-thumb to form inflation expectations, or does not fully understand the nature of the target, price level targeting may in fact …