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León-Ledesma, Miguel; McAdam, Peter - 2003

We quantify the degree of persistence in unemployment rates of transition countries using a variety of methods … presence of unit roots in unemployment. Since this is potentially a narrow definition, we also take into account the existence … of structural breaks and non-linear dynamics in unemployment. Finally, we examine whether CEECsu0092 unemployment …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635980

Wage setting and wage flexibility in Ireland

Keeney, Mary; Lawless, Martina - 2010

This paper investigates the wage-setting behaviour of Irish firms. We place particular emphasis on the use of flexible pay components and examine how these allow firms to deal with shocks requiring a reduction in costs without having to cut base wages. The results presented in this paper are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640360

Involuntary unemployment and the business cycle

Christiano, Lawrence J.; Trabandt, Mathias; Walentin, Karl - 2010

We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is ‘involuntary’). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no … capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’. We then …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640338

Canova, Fabio; Ciccarelli, Matteo; Ortega, Eva - 2004

This paper examines the properties of G-7 cycles using a multicountry Bayesian panel VAR model with time variations, unit specific dynamics and cross country interdependences. We demonstrate the presence of a significant world cycle and show that country specific indicators play a much smaller...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636535

Social returns to education

Canton, Erik - 2007

This paper presents new evidence on the social returns to education within a macroeconomic growth regression framework. I use improved schooling data and a macro version of the Mincer relationship between education and wages for individual workers. The results suggest that an increase by one...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640173

Econometric analysis of high dimensional VARs featuring a dominant unit

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Chudik, Alexander - 2010

This paper extends the analysis of infinite dimensional vector autoregressive models (IVAR) proposed in Chudik and Pesaran (2010) to the case where one of the variables or the cross section units in the IVAR model is dominant or pervasive. This extension is not straightforward and involves...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640346

Fiscal variables and bond spreads

Nickel, Christiane; Rother, Philipp; Rülke, Jan C. - 2009

We investigate the impact of fiscal variables on bond yield spreads relative to US Treasury bonds in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640486

Weak and strong cross section dependence and estimation of large panels

Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, Hashem; Tosetti, Elisa - 2009

an application to the estimation of panel data models with an infinite number of weak factors and a finite number of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640487

Nowcasting

Bańbura, Marta; Giannone, Domenico; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2010

We define nowcasting as the prediction of the present, the very near future and the very recent past. Crucial in this process is to use timely monthly information in order to nowcast key economic variables, such as e.g. GDP, that are typically collected at low frequency and published with long...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640507

Systemic risk diagnostics

Schwaab, Bernd; Koopman, Siem Jan; Lucas, André - 2011

We propose a novel framework to assess financial system risk. Using a dynamic factor framework based on state-space methods, we construct coincident measures (‘thermometers’) and a forward looking indicator for the likelihood of simultaneous failure of a large number of financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640766

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