inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of subindices of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP …) as opposed to forecasting the aggregate HICP directly. The analysis includes univariate and multivariate linear time … series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various …

Recent empirical studies on the inflation-growth-relationship underline that inflation has negative growth effects … already under relatively modest rates. Most contributions to monetary growth theory, however, have difficulties in explaining … influence of inflation on factor substitution. It turns out that already in a simple neoclassical monetary growth model this …

By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this …. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … application of the minimum distance estimation. The estimated model can explain the cyclical behavior of employment, hours per …

In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core in- flation estimation, based on a frequency domain … principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of …

Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …

target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …

pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the …Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …