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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities
Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The … identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs … apllied to German time-series and cross-section term structure data in order to identify both the risk-neutral and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
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Consumer inflation expectations in Poland
£yziak, Tomasz - 2003
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the transmission of monetary policy impulses and their impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
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Sporadic manipulation in money markets with central bank standing facilities
Ewerhart, Christian; Cassola, Nuno; Ejerskov, Steen; … - 2004
In certain market environments, a large investor may benefit from building up a futures position first and trading subsequently in the spot market (Kumar and Seppi, 1992). The present paper identifies a variation of this type of manipulation that might occur in money markets with an interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639459
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Labour market reform and the sustainability of exchange rate pegs
Castrén, Olli; Takalo, Tuomas; Wood, Geoffrey - 2004
It is commonly thought that an open economy can accommodate output shocks through either exchange rate or real sector adjustments. We formalise this notion by incorporating labour market rigidities into an “escape clause” model of currency crises. We show that the absence of structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639466
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How much does the public know about the ECB's monetary policy?
Cruijsen, Carin van der; Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2010
Does the general public know what central banks do? Is this kind of knowledge relevant? Using a survey of Dutch households, we investigate these questions for the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). Our findings suggest that knowledge on the ECB’s objectives is far from perfect. Both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640274
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The ECB's New Multi-Country Model for the euro area
Dieppe, Alistair; González Pandiella, Alberto; Hall, … - 2011
Rational expectations has been the dominant way to model expectations, but the literature has quickly moved to a more realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form their expectations. A standard assumption is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640692
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Optimal dynamic risk sharing when enforcement is a decision variable
Koeppl, Thorsten V. - 2003
decision problem of using self-governance for risk sharing or governance through enforcement provided by these institutions … prevent first-best risk sharing, but never optimal to provide incentives exclusively via this technology. Commitment problems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635888
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Growth expectations, capital flows and international risk sharing
Castrén, Olli; Miller, Marcus; Stiegert, Roger - 2003
international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response … shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will … for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
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Late lessons from early warnings
Gee, David (contributor); Guedes Vaz, Sofia (contributor);  … - Europäische Umweltagentur; European Environment Agency - 2002
This report is about gathering information on the hazards raised by human economic activities and its use in taking action to protect better the environment and the health of the species and ecosystems that are dependent on it. The study aims to contribute to better and more accessible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635974
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Späte Lehren aus frühen Warnungen
Gee, David (contributor); Guedes Vaz, Sofia (contributor);  … - Europäische Umweltagentur; European Environment Agency - 2002
This report is about gathering information on the hazards raised by human economic activities and its use in taking action to protect better the environment and the health of the species and ecosystems that are dependent on it. The study aims to contribute to better and more accessible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636105