forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and …By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …

1 has better and more robust forecasting properties for real GDP than yield spreads. This property persists when one … controls for a number of other influences. We also evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different classes of …

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the … ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area …) as opposed to forecasting the aggregate HICP directly. The analysis includes univariate and multivariate linear time …

findings of the 2010 Country Level Evaluation of the European Union‘s support to Ethiopia. The evaluation was carried out to … cooperation programme with Ethiopia between 2004 and 2008, an earlier period of cooperation having been covered by the 2003 … to Ethiopia. Lessons learned from the results of the EU's support to Ethiopia may also be fruitful for other ACP …