This paper codifies in a systematic and transparent way a historical chronology of business cycle turning points for Spain reaching back to 1850 at annual frequency, and 1939 at monthly frequency. Such an exercise would be incomplete without assessing the new chronology itself and against...

We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...

When evaluating entrepreneurship at the national level, the influence of small and mediumsized enterprises (SMEs) on the state economic development is analyzed. Also, the impact of significant factors (goods and services competitiveness, innovations, diversification, clusterization, creating...

The paper aims at analyzing the impact of the recent economic crisis on the real convergence with the Euro area for ten countries from Central and Eastern Europe that joined the European Union in 2004 and 2007. We use 2000, 2008 and 2010 as benchmark years for our study and GDP per capita at...

In order to overcome the potential loss of information that the transition to the new National Classification of Economic Activities could provoke in EPA series, INE has proposed a methodology to link CNAE 1993 and CNAE 2009 series. The procedure is based on employing a national transition...

Today it's frequently used the terms PIGS or PIIGS, acronyms used by economic journalists to refer to different countries of the European Union for their statement of affairs. The bad connotation is evident from the fact that pigs in English suggest the bad state of the economies of these...

This paper offers a specific analysis of speculation bubbles in the economic history of the world, and then tries to identify the causes and effects of the speculation bubble on the real estate market in the USA, which was the main cause of the subprime crisis. The first part of the paper aims...

In this paper we extend the Stock and Watson’s (Leading economic indicators, new approaches and forecasting records, 1991) single-index dynamic factor model in an econometric framework that has the advantage of combining information from real and financial indicators published at different...

This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation both within them and between them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they...

Nachdem die deutsche Wirtschaft 2011 noch um drei Prozent gewachsen ist, sind die Aussichten für 2012 durch die Krise im Euroraum überschattet. Dadurch wird der kräftige Aufschwung unterbrochen, obwohl die Kapazitäten bis zuletzt nicht voll ausgelastet waren. Vorübergehend wird die deutsche...